How Will The Spring Market Go? Investors Need To Consider Carefully.

Historically, in most of the years, the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets will go out of a rally in spring, so there will be so-called "winter sowing and spring harvest".

And this year's spring market will go and how far it can be, investors need to consider carefully.

The reason for the formation of the spring market is mainly related to two factors: on the one hand, the listed companies should publish annual reports and disclose distribution plans during this period, so that they will run out of a number of excellent black horses.

At the same time, there will be news of successful reorganization in bad companies.

Therefore, there are quite a lot of subjects in this period. Relatively speaking, there is no less chance of operation.

On the other hand, since the beginning of the year, all investors are faced with the task of implementing the annual investment plan, so the willingness to enter the market will generally be strong, which will make the market's strength likely to be magnified.

And the national "two sessions" convened here usually give news about speeding up economic construction and further improving people's livelihood. To a certain extent, this is also a boost to the stock market.

Therefore, in general, the annual spring market will continue to the national "two sessions" period, so some people simply call it "two sessions quotes".

As far as the real economy is concerned, 2017 is still on the side of the L type, and the growth rate is relatively stable, but there is no surprise.

Such a big framework also determines that the stock market will not have a particularly big market for the whole year, and the corresponding spring market can only be more moderate.

In the past half and a half of this year, the market has seen a marked decline in the first two weeks, and began to rebound after January 16th.

From the beginning of the year, the Shanghai stock market is up by more than 100 points, with a percentage less than 4%.

In the past one and a half months, such an increase can not be achieved.

At present, the index is still hovering at 3200 points.

If the market continues to be interpreted in this way, then at the end of the "two sessions",

It is estimated that at the 3300 point line, compared with the end of last year, the increase is only 10%, which is not very big.

The conclusion is mainly due to the relative tighter monetary policy this year, which shows the characteristics of prudence and neutrality.

The market liquidity is not enough, and the economic growth rate is not very high, so that the two basic conditions for the stock market to rise will no longer exist.

The support for the market may be due to the "asset shortage" caused by the allocation of stock market assets.

Because of the consideration of configuration, the choice of investment targets will be more biased than those with stable performance and low market rate.

And manipulating these stocks is mainly to achieve value recovery rather than value discovery.

As a result, the rising space of such stocks is very limited, which naturally restricts the market.

In the past spring market, the most active ones are growth stocks, and their good price elasticity and imagination, if coupled with

Such a theme, the trend is relatively attractive, as a large number of funds to enter, it also served as the leader of the market.

But the problem is that since last year, growth stocks have been slant.

Last year, the small and medium sized plate was significantly weaker than the main board.

The reasons are not only the adjustment of market preference, but also the structural change of investors.

It is hard to say that this situation will be fundamentally reversed in the spring market this year, so in this year's spring market, growth stocks will not perform very well, so that the market will be more active than before.

At present, the stock market turnover is light, the market amplitude is narrowed, and the market is in the two retreat.

In this case, although the spring market can be optimistic, but we can not expect too much about this.

From now on, there is no unexpected interference, it is estimated that there will be a rise of about 100 points in the market. This market and the previous increase in combination, will also constitute the general framework of this spring market.

For more information, please pay attention to the world clothing shoes and hats and Internet cafes.