"Six Countries" Embarked On A Healthy Development Track

New promotion of foreign trade " Six countries "No longer rely on past tariffs and export tax rebate adjustment, but through soft facilitation measures such as facilitation and burden reduction to promote foreign trade. This is a manifestation of the maturity of our policy making.

　　 Analysis of current situation

First, the export growth rate of 0.3% is not enough to fear, because the choice of benchmark is changing at any time. The high benchmark from 2.7% to 9.8% last year is obviously an example. According to quarterly statistics, in the first quarter, China's import and export growth was 13.5% year-on-year; the two quarter increased by 4.3%; the three quarter growth rate rebounded to 6%, which may reflect the overall growth trend of China's foreign trade.

Secondly, from the perspective of trade mode, China's general trade import and export growth exceeded the first three quarters. Improvement trade This shows that China's enterprises' trade value-added capability is relatively strong, which is a positive signal for changing the way of trade development. At the same time, the import growth of processing trade accelerated. In view of the pattern of China's processing trade going forward and coming out, the export contribution rate of processing trade is expected to increase in the near future.

In addition, under the influence of the new international regional economic integration, all countries see the importance of FTA. In such a context, it is necessary to study bilateral trade relations. The September figures show that China's export growth to Europe, the United States and ASEAN has declined, of which ASEAN's export growth has dropped from 30.8% in August to 9.8% in September. Perhaps it is more important to study the reasons behind this, which is not only conducive to the improvement of bilateral trade in the short term, but also provides a way to build an upgraded version of CAFTA in the long run.

The study of FTA is also an important part of FTA strategy. It is the dawn of Sino Japanese trade. Since July, the decline in import and export trade between China and Japan has been narrowed for 3 consecutive months. This provides a good opportunity for China, Japan and South Korea to promote FTA negotiations.

　　 Future trend judgement

In the short term, it will be affected by various factors, such as the high base number of last year's fourth quarter, Christmas pulling, the rising trend of leading indicators in OECD countries, and the reduction of orders in Canton Fair. Guarantee eight Although the objective is grim, there is still hope. Moreover, a figure can not represent anything. China's GDP growth has come down from the double-digit altar. The slide of export growth will also be an inevitable trend, but this will not affect the increasing scale of China's trade, nor will it disturb the pace of China's becoming a trading power.

International situation. The two chambers of the United States have reached a compromise on the financial debt ceiling, and the European economy has gradually emerged from the gloom of recession. Japan has made bold progress in promoting Andouble economics since Andouble came to power. All these improvements in external demand will be a boost.

Domestic situation. At the institutional level, the new "six states" that promote foreign trade no longer rely on past tariff and export tax rebate adjustment, but promote the foreign trade through soft measures such as facilitation and burden reduction. This is a manifestation of the maturity of our policy making.

Because the export tax rebate is the requirement and embodiment of the neutral principle of value added tax, it is a right of the enterprise. However, we believe that the export tax rebate is regarded as a policy tool for the government to regulate import and export volume. Frequent changes in the export tax rebate rate are not only easy to cause trade friction, but also not conducive to the long-term and sustainable development of foreign trade.

At the implementation level, the FTA and its driving effect on the periphery will also play a positive role in promoting the development of foreign trade.

Therefore, in the long run, China's foreign trade will embark on a healthy development track.